Nigeria Must Build a Security System that Gets There First

This Rejoinder to Onikepo Braithwaite’s piece of 24/6/2025, “It’s Time to Arrest the Killings”, by Rear Admiral Bolanle Ati-John (Rtd), goes on to proffer numerous viable suggestions on how Nigeria can effectively fight its insecurity problem, including a heavy deployment of technology and the use of local regional forces who are familiar with their home terrains

Background: Onikepo Braithwaite’s Article 

Onikepo Braithwaite’s recent article, “It’s Time to Arrest the Killings”, is a critical and courageous intervention. She cuts through the comfortable, misleading language that has long softened the brutality of Nigeria’s security crisis. By calling out the phrase “communal clashes” as a lazy and dangerous euphemism, Braithwaite forces the nation to face what has been unfolding for years: a sustained campaign of terror, land seizure, and displacement that has devastated communities in Benue, Plateau, Kaduna, and beyond.

Her insistence that we must stop normalising these atrocities is both timely and necessary. The killings she describes are not random, they are not spontaneous, and they are not the inevitable by-products of social tensions. They are the result of deliberate attacks, predictable patterns, and a security system that consistently shows up after the fact.

But, if we are to truly arrest the killings – as Braithwaite demands – we must go even further. We must confront the brutal truth that, Nigeria’s security architecture is not just failing because it is under-resourced. It is failing because it is fundamentally designed to react, not to prevent. And, by the time our security forces react, entire villages have already been burned to the ground.

It is a deadly cycle that has played out with cruel precision, across Nigeria’s most vulnerable regions. The attackers plan, strike, and vanish long before security reinforcements arrive. The survivors bury their dead. Government officials issue condolences. Investigations are promised, but rarely concluded. Then the process repeats itself. We cannot continue like this.

If Nigeria is serious about protecting its people, it must now build a security system that gets there first. The era of helpless reaction must end. The era of intelligent prevention must begin.

Technology Must Lead the Way

The tools to make this shift, already exist. Nigeria does not have to invent them. Drone surveillance, satellite imagery, geofencing of high-risk rural areas, and mobile-based early warning systems are all practical, proven technologies. They have been used to monitor insurgencies in East Africa, to track poachers in Southern Africa, and to prevent village raids in fragile parts of South Asia. These are not luxuries. For a country as vast and vulnerable as Nigeria, they are essential.

In many of the attacks that Braithwaite describes, the warning signs were visible well before the violence. Suspicious movements, abandoned farms, the build-up of armed groups – all of these were detectable. But, Nigeria’s current security system lacks the capacity and the urgency to see them in time.

Imagine instead, a system where drone patrols monitor remote farmlands in real time. Where satellites flag unusual gatherings in forest corridors. Where villagers can issue distress signals through simple mobile apps that instantly trigger alerts to nearby security posts. This is not science fiction. This is basic modern security infrastructure.

But, technology alone, will not save us.

Security Must Go Local and Regional

Nigeria must finally abandon the dangerous illusion, that security can be centrally managed from Abuja. The Federal Government cannot possibly protect every farm, every village, and every highway in a country this large. Yet, for decades, Abuja has clung to near-total control of armed security forces, while leaving State and regional actors under-equipped and under-authorised. This approach is no longer sustainable.

The idea that States and local communities should play a primary role in their own defence, is not radical. It is common sense. State Governors, local leaders, and community-based security groups, are often the first to hear of impending threats. They have the terrain knowledge, the language fluency, and the trust of local populations – advantages that Federal forces rarely enjoy.

Structures like the Àmòtèkun Corps in the Southwest, Ebube Agu in the Southeast, and vigilante groups in the North, have already emerged out of sheer necessity. These groups are often the first responders, when Federal forces are absent or arrive too late. Rather than viewing them with suspicion, the Nigerian Government should formally recognise, regulate, and strengthen them.

To be clear, this is not a call for fragmented militias or for security structures to become political weapons. That risk is real, but the solution is not to paralyse local action – it is to build accountability into the system.

Regional security coordination, is the missing layer. Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones should serve as natural platforms, for security collaboration across State lines. Criminal networks, bandit gangs, and terrorist cells, do not respect administrative boundaries. Security responses should not be trapped by them.

Each region should develop its own security coordination centres, equipped to track threats in real time, to share intelligence rapidly across states, and to mobilise joint responses without waiting for Abuja’s green light. These regional hubs would not replace federal security forces but would work alongside them, combining federal resources with local speed and local knowledge.

This is how Nigeria builds a security system, that can get there first.

Funding: A Question of Priorities

One of the silent tragedies in Nigeria’s security failure, is the consistent excuse of insufficient funds. We hear it after every massacre. The security forces lacked fuel, lacked vehicles, lacked helicopters, lacked weapons. But, somehow, there is always enough money for bloated political entourages, for unnecessary capital projects, for obscene election spending.

Let’s be honest: budgets are moral documents. When a government claims it cannot find the funds to protect its citizens, what it is really saying is that protection is not a priority. The protection of life, must no longer be negotiable. If Nigeria can fund political campaigns that flood cities with billboards and charter flights, it can certainly fund regional security hubs, drones, and mobile alert systems. The country’s leaders must reorder spending, to reflect the true value of Nigerian lives. This is not a matter for international donors. The lives of Nigerians, should not depend on the goodwill of foreign partners. Nigeria has the resources. It has simply failed to apply them, where they matter most.

Guarding Against Abuse

Braithwaite warns, rightly, about the dangers of security failure. But, we must also be vigilant about the dangers of security overreach. Any system that invests heavily in surveillance and expands the role of local security forces, must come with strict guardrails. Nigeria cannot afford to trade one danger for another.

The abuse of surveillance technology is not hypothetical. Across Africa, we have seen spyware deployed against journalists, opposition figures, and human rights defenders. In Nigeria itself, concerns have been raised about the targeting of critics under the guise of security monitoring.

If Nigeria is to adopt security technologies, they must be designed and deployed with transparency from the start. Civilian-led oversight bodies, must monitor their use. Procurement processes must be open, competitive, and free from political interference. Data protection policies must be clear and enforceable.

The new security system must protect both the physical safety, and the democratic freedoms of the Nigerian people. We cannot build a shield for some, and a sword against others.

The Legal Ground is Solid

There is no constitutional barrier, to building the system Nigeria needs. The Constitution rightly prohibits States from forming independent armed forces, but it does not prevent the creation of well-coordinated, technology-driven, community-based security structures.

States can deploy surveillance tools, establish early warning systems, fund local security initiatives, and cooperate across regions without violating constitutional provisions. The obstacle is not legal. It is political. It is a persistent centralisation reflex, that resists giving States and regions the tools they need to act swiftly.

This is a failure of imagination. And, it is a failure of courage.

This is Not Abuja’s Battle Alone

The greatest mistake Nigeria could make, is to continue waiting for a Federal rescue that never arrives on time. Federal forces cannot be everywhere. They cannot hear every warning. They cannot respond to every threat, before it becomes a tragedy.

What Braithwaite’s intervention makes clear – and what must now be fully accepted – is that security in Nigeria is not the exclusive responsibility of the Federal Government. It is a shared responsibility. It is a multi-layered effort that requires Federal, State, regional, and community actors working in real-time collaboration. If Nigeria remains locked in its current security model, the results are predictable. More villages will fall. More lives will be lost. More families will grieve while the nation debates, investigates, and delays.

But, there is another path. Nigeria can build a security system, that anticipates danger. A system that uses technology to see threats, before they strike. A system that empowers local responders and regional coalitions, to act swiftly. A system that prioritises prevention over reaction. A system that is both accountable and effective.

The choice is clear. The clock is ticking. The lives that can be saved, are waiting. And, the courage to save them must no longer wait.

Rear Admiral K Bolanle Ati-John (Rtd)

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    Deji Elumoye and Emmanuel Addeh in Abuja

    The Group Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC), Bayo Ojulari, has disclosed that Nigeria lost 200,000 barrels per day of crude oil to the recent strike action embarked upon by the nation’s oil workers, culminating in a total of over 600,000 barrels during the three-day supply disruption.

    The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association (PENGASSAN) had last month directed its members to embark on strike in the wake of a face off with the management of Dangote Refineries over the reported sack of 800 workers.

    Reacting to the effect of the three-day strike action on the oil industry, Ojulari stated that the industrial action had a telling effect on the production capacity of the NNPC.

    The GCEO who spoke with newsmen after meeting with President Bola Tinubu in Lagos while describing the strike action as unfortunate stated that  Nigeria has recently achieved a 7 Billion Cubic Feet (BCF) of gas.

    “I think it was unfortunate that the Dangote and PENGASSAN issue led to strike and whenever there is strike and critical staff manning critical facilities are not available and optimum production is almost impossible. In this particular case, we actually lost significant production of over 200,000 bpd that was deferred.

    “We also have gas production that was deferred, we also have power generation that was impacted by about 1.2 megawatts of power that was affected by that strike,” he said.

    He, however, expressed happiness that the crisis had been resolved through the timely intervention of the federal government via the Federal Ministry of Labour and the Office of the National Security Adviser (NSA).

    Ojulari added: “I’m very pleased that the federal government through the leadership of the Minister of Labour and full support of the National Security Adviser was able to put together everyone into a dialogue and brought everybody to the table and now there has been a communiqué that has been agreed on the way forward.

    “We are all very hopeful that everyone will abide by the communique, since then we have been able to return production back to status quo, there has been one or two areas that we are still trying to catch up with. Overall, we have gradually gone back to restore lost production and the deferment that we have as of today,” he added.

    Ojulari further stated that Nigeria has been able to step up crude oil production with effect from last month, saying 1.68 million barrels per day were produced in September, 2025 while 7 billion cubic feet of gas was also produced per day during the same period.

    “We are making good progress. As you know, we recorded 1.68mbpd of oil production last month which was very good. That was the first in about five years. In terms of milestones, we also recorded the highest gas production above 7 Billion Cubic Feet per day which is also the highest in recent times.

    “What we are also expecting is that with some Turnaround Maintenance we have done in August and September and all of those are meant to come back this month, we are hoping that by the end of the year we should at least be clocking 1.8mbpd,” the NNPC chief executive stated.

    He attributed the current hike in price of cooking gas to the artificial scarcity caused by the recent PENGASSAN strike,  but expressed hope that the price will stabilise before long with the resolution of the crisis.

    “The increase you saw was relatively artificial because for the period of the strike,  movement and loading were delayed for about two to three days and because of that you see that impact and as things return to normal it takes sometimes for distribution to fully return and you see with that delay some of the people that have existing resources in reserves had to put up the price.

    “My expectation is that now that things are back to normal prices it should return to what they were before the strike,” Ojulari added.

    Asked the purpose of his visit to the President, Ojulari said it was a routine visit to update him about developments in the oil sector, especially the task given to him to attract investors.

    “It is quite an important opportunity to update the president on the progress in NNPC particularly in terms of production performance, in terms of progress we are making in terms of attracting investment.

    “As you recall, the President gave us a clear mandate which is to grow production to at least 2 million bpd by 2027 and up to 3 million bpd by 2030 as well as grow gas production as well. So, how are we progressing this year and how are we preparing for next year in terms of ensuring we deliver this growth? So, that was one of my updates to the President,” the engineer noted.

    Meanwhile, the NNPC has once again raised the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), popularly known as petrol, at its retail outlets, as light queues returned following the PENGASSAN and Dangote

    It was learnt that NNPC stations in Abuja, especially in Wuse Zone 6 and Zone 4 areas had adjusted their pump price from N890 to N905 per litre, representing a N15 increase, or roughly 1.7 per cent upward review.

    The President of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Abubakar Maigandi, attributed the latest price hike to recent supply disruptions caused by the standoff between  PENGASSAN and the Dangote Refinery.

    He said: “It is due to PENGASSAN’s strike disruption. However, our members are still selling between N885 and N895 per litre,” the IPMAN chief  said.

    ​  

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    President Rallies Support for Dangote, Highlights His Contributions to Economy

    President Rallies Support for Dangote, Highlights His Contributions to Economy

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    Deji Elumoye and James Emejo in Abuja

    President Bola Ahmed Tinubu yesterday rallied Nigerians to support and appreciate the contributions of the President of Dangote Group, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, especially given his contributions to the nation’s economy.

    Speaking at the opening of the 31st Nigerian Economic Summit (NES#31) with the theme: “Building a Prosperous and Inclusive Nigeria by 2030,” in Abuja, Tinubu said Dangote remained the leading light in the country’s economic development trajectory, adding that “how we treat this gentleman will determine how outsiders will judge us”.

    The President’s remarks came against the backdrop of a series of antagonism against Africa’s richest man by some business interests and labour unions in the oil sector, the latest being the dispute between Dangote and the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN), which has now been resolved.

    Describing Dangote as an institution rather than an individual, Tinubu said: “I wish to call for caution, retrospection, and a sense of accountability from all the organised and independent private sector as they participate in defining and improving the relationship between people and industry, in the interest of maintaining and sustainably improving economic cultures.”

    Represented by Vice President Kashim Shetima, the President further declared that “Nigeria is greater than PENGASSAN.”

    The president said: “If he (Dangote) had invested $10 billion in Microsoft, in Amazon, in Google, probably he might be worth $70 billion to $80 billion by now. But he opted to invest in this country, and we owe it to future generations to generously protect, promote, preserve, and protect the interests of this very Nigerian.

    “Nigeria is greater than each and every one of us. I’m not coming to you as a partisan. I’m coming to you as a person in search of solutions to our national challenges.”

    This came as the Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Senator Abubakar Bagudu, said the federal government remained ambitious and certain to eliminate poverty as well as achieve the $1 trillion economy by 2030.

    However, Tinubu vowed that the government will humanise governance so that every citizen feels respected and served.

    He said: “I wish to re-emphasise that in the interest of improving the cultures, the government is hereby tasking the Nigerian Economic Summit Group to take more than a passing interest in the matter.

    “The government will expect far-reaching recommendations from the NESG in addressing this issue, even as the government is also taking steps to protect the industry and ensure the industrial harmony for the whole population of Nigeria.”

    Nonetheless, Tinubu said while the country’s challenges are daunting, they are not insurmountable, noting that the ticket to achieving inclusive and lasting prosperity depended on a series of sound policies, strong partnerships, and the commitment of the private sector.

    He said: “We are not condemned to low growth, high costs, and low trust. We will stabilise. We will industrialise. We will humanise our economy. We will stabilise prices and the currency. We will industrialise through power, logistics, and technology. We will humanise governance so that every citizen feels respected and served.”

    The President said there’s a resounding consensus that recent reforms have stabilised the macroeconomic environment, with the economy expanding to N372.8 trillion in 2024, up from N309.5 trillion in 2023.

    He said total revenue collection also rose from N19.9 trillion in 2023 to N25.2 trillion in 2024, adding that as of August 2025, it had reached N27.8 trillion, surpassing the revenue target of N18.32 trillion.

    Tinubu further pointed out that these triumphs and projections are guided by his administration’s promise to the nation—to grow the debt service-to-revenue ratio from 97 per cent, where we met it, to a sustainable level.

    He said: “Aside from the good news that this ratio has now reduced to less than 50 per cent, I am proud to share that this performance, in our early days in office, inspired Fitch to upgrade Nigeria’s sovereign rating to B with a stable outlook, and Moody’s to lift our issuer rating to B3 with a stable outlook. Both praised our improved economic foresight and clearer policy direction as their barometers.

    “The reforms championed by my administration have begun to yield tangible results across sectors and beyond the GDP growth of 4.23 per cent recorded in September 2025—a number which surpasses projections from multilateral agencies and local think tanks. Non-oil revenues grew by 411 per cent year on year in the same month, while the tax-to-GDP ratio now nudges 13.5 per cent, up from barely seven per cent a few years ago.

    “Our debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 38.8 per cent, far below the limits set by the Fiscal Responsibility Act at 60 per cent, and those of ECOWAS and the World Bank at 70 per cent. These numbers tell the story of a nation prepared for the present; they represent the promise we made to Nigerians.

    “We came to office fully aware that the secret to a successful federation lies in empowering each federating unit with the resources and autonomy to pursue development peculiar to its needs. This is why we increased the states’ monthly allocations, giving them room to fund critical projects and social interventions.

    “Simultaneously, our commitment to redeeming our industrial and infrastructural deficits has enhanced productivity across sectors. We are now producing an average of 1.8 million barrels of oil per day and are working towards achieving 2 million barrels per day by the end of the 2025 fiscal year.

    “As experts in the economy, you know more than the average citizen that the stability in our foreign exchange market is not accidental. It reflects deliberate choices guided by the same economic wisdom that gatherings such as this embody.

    “Along with subsidy removal, these decisions have rescued our public finances, stabilised the economy, and reassured investors at home and abroad. We owe this progress to the sacrifices of Nigerians, whose patience and understanding have been the bedrock of our endurance. To them, I say: the better days we promised are already within sight.”

    Continuing, Tinubu said through these reforms, Nigeria’s external reserves have grown to $43 billion as of September 2025, while trade balance also improved to N7.46 trillion in the second quarter of 2025, up from N5.17 trillion in the first quarter.

    “We have recorded a strong GDP growth rate of about 7 per cent. I admit that this growth has not yet fully translated into enough jobs for our people, but we are closing that gap. We are giving priority to agriculture and solid minerals, two sectors with great potential to create jobs and strengthen our economy. To move faster, we have entered into partnerships with other countries to bring in modern farming equipment, train our farmers, and expand extension services across the nation.

    “Our reforms are deliberately cross-sectoral because we understand that diversification is the only pathway to sustainable growth. The contribution of the Ministry of Solid Minerals Development to the Federation Account has improved remarkably, with the sector generating N12.58 billion in 2024 through mineral title applications and related fees. This is a sign of the sector’s awakening and the result of deliberate reforms aimed at unlocking its full potential,” he emphasised.

    As a people-oriented government, he said the priority remains restoring hope to the unemployed, the poor, the excluded, and the vulnerable, as the government has created pathways for young Nigerians to access grants, loans, and equity investments of up to $100,000 to scale their enterprises, innovate, and build sustainable livelihoods.

    “We established a N200 billion intervention fund to support micro, small, and medium enterprises and manufacturers, helping them overcome structural challenges and enhance competitiveness.

    “Our expansion of digital micro-loan access has improved financial inclusion, empowering small businesses and stimulating community-level productivity. These efforts underline our commitment to an economy that works for all Nigerians,” he pointed out.

    The President resident further pointed out that the four Tax Reform Acts recently signed into law, including the Nigeria Tax Act, the Nigeria Tax Administration Act, the Nigeria Revenue Service (Establishment) Act, and the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Act—represened a bold recalibration of our fiscal architecture.

    He said the new tax regime will boost domestic revenue mobilisation, reduce dependence on oil, and simplify compliance, explaining that these reforms protect low-income earners, ensure fairness in corporate taxation, and strengthen digital innovation in tax administration.

    He said: “By promoting transparency and coordination among all tiers of government, we are laying the foundation for a fairer and more prosperous Nigeria.

    “To improve connectivity and ease of movement, we are constructing highways, bridges, and rail lines across states, including interstate terminals, with over 440 ongoing road projects covering more than 2,700 kilometres of superhighways nationwide. These investments in infrastructure are the arteries of national prosperity, facilitating commerce and strengthening unity.

    “The government has also unveiled the Renewed Hope Ward-Based Development Programme, a people-centred initiative designed to empower citizens at the grassroots. By targeting all 8,809 wards across the 774 Local Government Areas, the programme seeks to map local economic activities, human capital, infrastructure, and resource endowment, ensuring no community is left behind.

    “Modelled after successful frameworks in China, India, and Kenya, it represents a bottom-up approach to addressing multidimensional poverty through participatory development. Community leaders, residents, and ward representatives will identify local priorities that feed into Local Government, State, and National Plans to ensure alignment and sustainability.

    “To realise these noble goals, sub-national governments must play an active role. At the federal level, our commitment remains unshaken. We continue to strengthen coordination, policy coherence, and implementation across institutions. We therefore call on states to align with the Renewed Hope Agenda in the collective pursuit of a future where every Nigerian can thrive.”

    Besides, in his opening remarks at the summit, Bagudu further reaffirmed the administration’s unwavering commitment to fostering sustainable inclusive economic growth, enhancing macroeconomic predictability, and improving the welfare of all Nigerians.

    The minister said the economic reforms and policy initiatives being implemented are designed to address structural weaknesses, enhance productivity, and position Nigeria for long-term prosperity, noting that “results of the last two years have given us confidence”.

    He said: “While we recognise the short-term hardships on our people, we are confident that our policies will yield tangible benefits over time. The stabilisation of the exchange rate, declining inflationary pressures, and improvements in fiscal management are already setting the stage for a more resilient and diversified economy.

    “Our focus remains on driving job creation, reducing poverty, increasing non-oil revenue, and improving our external financial position. We are taking development to the grassroot via the Renewed Hope Ward Development Programme.”

    The minister called on the private sector, development partners, and all Nigerians to support these efforts, adding that the journey towards economic transformation required collective commitment, innovation, and perseverance.

    He said: “We are committed to a measured and deliberate path forward, ensuring each step is meticulously assessed. We must, therefore, remain resolute in our current strategy. While the necessary exchange rate unification policy led to a significant 125.2 per cent depreciation of the naira, from N672.85 per dollar in 2023 to N1,515.43 in 2024, stability is emerging.

    “The exchange rate averaged N1,534.82 per dollar in December 2024 and strengthened to N1,493.99 per dollar by September 2025. This reflects an appreciation of 2.71 per cent, signaling the effectiveness of our stabilisation measures and a positive outlook for the economy.”

    On inflation and cost of living, Bagudu said that despite persistent inflationary pressures, recent data presents encouraging signs of moderation.

    He affirmed: “Headline inflation, measured year-on-year, decreased to 20.12 per cent in August 2025, a notable reduction from 32.15 per cent in August 2024 and 21.88 per cent in July 2025.

    “This downward trend, reflected in the newly rebased Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggests a gradual easing of the cost of living. Particularly significant is the deceleration in food Inflation, which declined to 21.87 percent in August 2025 from 37.52 per cent in August 2024

    “This trend will be sustained with deliberate policies to alleviate pressure on household budgets, stimulate consumer spending, and create a more conducive environment for economic growth. The reduction in inflationary pressures could also lead to more predictable economic planning, and a higher chance of increased investment, both domestic and foreign.”

    ​  

    •Declares Nigeria greater than PENGASSAN  •Describes Africa’s richest man as an institution, tasks NESG on industrial harmony  •Abubakar Bagudu: Poverty elimination, $1tn economy realisable by 2030 Deji Elumoye and James

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