Harmattan: Domestic Airlines to Face Major Flight Disruptions, Revenue Loss

Chinedu Eze

Harmattan haze will disrupt flight operations starting from late November to end of January 2026 with projected revenue loss of about N20 billion during the period, which is the peak of flight operations in Nigeria.

This is because like in the previous years, no effort has been made to provide equipment that will counter the effect of harmattan on flight operations in Nigeria.

It was learnt that many of the airports operated by the state government do not have runway lights and other necessary instruments that can enable flights operate during low visibility both in the day and in the night.

Also, some of the airports operated by the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) do not have enabling facilities that could allow flight operations during unfavourable weather occasioned by the harmattan haze.

Experts predicts that the industry will witness flight cancellations, unruly passenger behaviour, over stretched airport facilities, as airlines struggle to use the window of limited safe weather conditions to operate flights to airlift thousands of passengers who travel for holiday during the period.

Over the years, it has been hoped that harmattan would be made to have negligible effect on flight operations, as the federal government promised at different administrations that it would provide the needed equipment that could enable flights operate at low visibility, but this has not happened; so, airlines must brace up for the flight disruptions and huge loss of revenue during the inimical weather conditions.

For flights to land and depart at low visibility due to harmattan, an airport must have Category 3 Instrument Landing System with all the associated equipment that will enable it to work efficiently.

A former Managing Director of the Nigerian Airspace Management Agency (NAMA), Matthew Pwajok, gave details of what happens during the harmattan period.

According to him, “Weather is not what anybody can change; it must come when it will come but the only way to tame its adverse effects is to use other means to manage it and in aviation, it is infrastructure.”

Pwajok said that airlines spend a lot of money when they divert or cancel flights due to harmattan haze and other factors.

“An airline knows how much it costs to fly an aircraft for an hour. If it is $5000 or $10, 000 to fly an aircraft an hour, airlines know the cost of hiring one aircraft. Airlines know the payments they make for landing and for take-off and they also know the fuel they burn. So, when you have a one hour flight and then you return back making two hours, and let’s say you are burning fuel of $5000 for a one hour flight, that is $5000 plus another $5000, that is $10,000. Then the passengers that you have lost their patronage because of the delays, the goodwill you have lost, the refunds you have to make, people that you might have to take to a hotel or transporting them or feeding them, all these are costs. So, it definitely costs an airline a lot to divert a flight. And so, it is something that can be minimised if all the equipment and facilities are put in place,” he said.

He said such critical equipment must be available during the day and in the night because low visibility can occur at any time.

To forestall flight disruption towards the end of the year, Pwajok said state governments that run airports and FAAN can provide some of the equipment to alleviate the impact of bad weather during the Yuletide.

Pwajok also explained that airports that do not have the necessary requirements for night landing and low visibility usually shut down in order to discourage flights to risk landing at such airports.

According to the former NAMA boss, in order to enhance visibility and to enable approach and landing, the agency must provide Voice Omnidirectional Radio Range (VOR), which is the basic equipment that brings the aircraft down; “then the Instrument Landing System that guide the aircraft vertically, longitudinally and horizontally and this equipment must be calibrated and available to enable aircraft approach and land. This and Distance Measuring Equipment (DME) must be available to enable aircraft land in low visibility.

“So, the instrument landing system must be available and it must also be calibrated. Calibrated means it is tested. It is accurate. It has integrity and it is reliable and it is available for approach and landing. So those aspects of the instrument landing system under NAMA must be there.”

“Then it also goes with what we call a distance measuring equipment which is part of the instrument landing system. So, it should also be available. Once NAMA has an instrument landing system or the state government has an instrument landing system for that runway and it is calibrated, then of course operations at night can be assured. Now I need to also talk about the category of the instrument landing system,” Pwajok said.

According to him, there could be instrument landing system at an airport but the capacity of it would determine the category and how it can perform in low visibility.

He said that the major categories are 1, 2 and 3 for landing, but category 1, is the basic instrument for landing system category.

“Category 1 requires that you should be able to see the runway by 800 meters. That is when the reported visibility by NIMET (Nigeria Meteorological Agency) is 800 meters, then you can use a category 1. When visibility deteriorates below 800 meters, then you will be talking about category 2. So once visibility is less than 800 meters, a category 1 instrument landing system, even if you have it in the airport, you can’t use it to land. So, the airline may still tell you they can’t land because the minimum is lower than what is available. The category 2 is basically what we have in most airports in Nigeria,” Pwajok said.

Pwajok explained, “Now, when you start talking about visibility below, maybe, 300 meters, then you will be thinking of category 3 ILS, which is not exactly operational even though we have it in Lagos and Abuja. And we are already procuring for Kano, Port Harcourt. But the main thing that is making it not to be operational is the lighting system. The lighting system at this airport is category 2. And that is why NAMA even though installed category 3 ILS, they had to use it as category 2. Because the perimeter fencing, the birds and wildlife control, and then the lighting system did not meet the requirement for category 3 Instrument Landing System. So even though NAMA has it, airlines can’t run it because you have to ensure there is no incursions by animals.”

Also, Head of Central Forecast Officer (CFO), NIMET, Wasiu Adeniyi Ibrahim, told THISDAY that airlines are not supposed to operate below 300 meters weather minima and because commercial airlines carry passengers they have to be more careful and will not risk visibility below 300 meters.

He also noted that now that there are efficient weather reports for three days, travellers can decide to travel at the period of clement weather conditions, adding that even when the on the ground weather equipment is provided, some aircraft may not have on-board equipment to receive the needed signals.

So, until FAAN and NAMA provide the required landing equipment like Category 3 ILS and fully lighted runway to meet the specifications, harmattan will continue to be a menace to flight operations in Nigeria.

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    The post Colombian Vice-President Begins Three-day Official Visit To Nigeria appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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    * To hold bilateral meeting, sign MoU on economy with his Nigerian counterpart  Deji Elumoye in Abuja  The Vice-President of the Republic of Colombia, Mrs Francia Márquez, on Saturday arrived
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    Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes

    Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes

    Former presidential candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in the 2023 general election, Prince Adewale Adebayo, in this interview with select journalists, says President Bola Tinubu’s trip to Brazil is a waste of the country’s resources, as what he is seeking exists in SDP’s manifestoes

    In faraway Brazil, President Bola Tinubu declared that the reforms his administration have carried out are tough, but like a bitter medicine, once the fever is gone, you would know that the cure was worth it. What do you make of that statement from President Tinubu?

    Well, I’m happy that the president is going around the world. I’m happy that he went to Brazil, because if ever his policy life is going to change, we will see whether he changes from Brazil. His going to Brazil is the equivalent of Saul becoming Paul, because in Brazil what the Workers’ Party did to become what they are today and the president was giddy about it; he even posed the question what do they have that we don’t have? And I have the answer. What they have is good leadership and that’s what we don’t have yet. What they have is a poverty reduction manifesto and set of programmes and policies. If you look at Bolsa Familia, which reduced poverty by 27 per cent in Brazil in four years under President Lula da Silva’s government, it is the opposite of ‘subsidy is gone’ that increased poverty exponentially. If you look at the way Petrobras is run compared to the way the president has been running the NNPCL, they are polar opposites. If you look at where Brazil gets its strength from, Brazil is the third largest economy in the Americas. In fact, by purchasing power parity, Brazil is next to the USA.

    So, they have a bit of a mixed economy. The government is participating; the private sector is participating. They have indigenous industries, arising from agriculture, coffee, soybeans and all of that. Then they have the high end with aeronautics, defence and all of that. So, the same country that makes a lot of money producing aircraft like Embraer and other companies is making more money just producing plain soybeans. So, the economic policy of President Tinubu is opposite to the one that has succeeded in Brazil. I’m happy that he’s there because by going there, he will see how wrongheaded his own policies are. On the other hand, I am not happy that he went there to spend all that money when the ruler is here. He could have spoken to me. He could have looked at the Social Democratic Party manifesto. He used to be a member of the SDP in good old days. So, why are you leaving the Brazilian type of manifesto which is available in Nigeria and then you are going to Brazil as a tourist to be in awe of the majesty of Brazil and the Brazilian economy as if it is by magic? It is by policy.

    Look at them. The Central Bank of Brazil is crying because of 4.5 per cent inflation. We are celebrating 22 per cent inflation, which in reality is 13 per cent. Brazil says it should not be at three per cent. You look at it clearly; Brazil pays people money to go to school. If you study Posta Familiar very well, a family that puts their children in school, does immunization, does all of that, is guaranteed not to see poverty. And Brazil is struggling to make sure that the wealth that it has is better distributed. So, they acknowledged the fact that the problem of Brazil is not about making more money, it is about allocating efficiency that has social consideration. That is to say they want to distribute their wealth in a better way to make everybody more productive. Brazil is having five per cent unemployment. We are having over 30 or 40 per cent, depending on how you look at the statistics. So, how can you now say, I am now in Brazil as a tourist, how did they make it here? So, it is like the person who does not keep good health, who does not take a shower, who does not clean the environment, he looks at his neighbour’s house and says, why do you have to clean? Why is your dress so white? Why are all your children healthy? Just adopt that healthy policy. It is a good discussion and it is a discussion I am willing to have with the president, partisanship aside. You can stay in the government and I stay where I am in the SDP, but we can still have this conversation as to how Brazil managed it because everything that happened to Brazil happened to us.

    Agreed that the reforms are the bitter pill that signposts good health when the medicine starts working; in the last two years or more of this government in power, we have seen top policies that have been made, is the medicine working or are we taking malaria medication for typhoid or cancer? Are the realities and the promises or the hopes that are being preached in tandem? What exactly do you think is going on?

    Okay, let me tell you, there is a doctor, Bola Tinubu, who has an APP hospital, and he says he treats malaria patients. So, he makes sure the fever is gone. What does he do? If you take a patient there, he gives the patient rat poison. So, the patient would die, and the fever would die with the patient. That’s one way that he cures his own patients. If he has plenty of patients and 15 of them die, he will say I have only five fever patients left. That is not the best way to cure a patient. It’s not every medicine that is going to cure a fever, that’s number one. Number two, he went to the wrong country. He should have gone to Argentina, because his own policy is closer to the one done in Argentina, not the one being done in Brazil. Thirdly, the problem is not breaking the egg. You can ask women, how do you make an omelet? The easiest part is breaking the egg. You break the egg, and all the yolk and the white of the egg spills to the ground. If you break the egg, at that time you have no frying pan; you have not even lit the fire. So how are you going to make the omelet? The problem is that half of our eggs are broken, and nobody has had breakfast. You keep breaking the egg, you don’t see the omelet.

    Prince, you are saying that this government is not doing the right thing. Maybe, they’ve put in place the right policies, but they are not implementing them the right way, is that what you are saying?

    I am not just saying that President Tinubu’s government is not doing the right thing. There are some governments that don’t do the right thing. But I’m saying that they are not just doing the right thing, they are actively doing the bad thing. And the reason I’m able to say that, is that the president may disagree with the policy of the SDP. We raised the issue of farewell to poverty and insecurity, and we said you have to make social investment. And we said that you can grow your GDP by making social investments. He is trying to grow his own GDP by making social divestment and hoping that Brazilians, because I heard him calling Petrobras to come here, he is hoping that Brazilians, other people who have made social investments at home, and have redeveloped that social investment, are going to bring their own money to come and make foreign investment here. The policy is wrong. The third reason why I think the policy is wrong is that after criticizing the SDP or ignoring the SDP manifesto here, he is praising Brazil. Brazil is the benchmark for today’s discussion. I agree with the Channel TV. You can organize a session where you bring Wale Edun, you bring all the economic team of the APC, and you bring me, and you bring the SDP. We can have a debate for two hours in your session; if they can pay half, we can pay half.

    And let us put these policies and explain them to Nigerian people. They are letting their own policies go wrong in five ways. One, they are behaving as if poverty can increase, and economic growth can also increase at the same time. It can’t happen. The journey of poverty must be inversely correlated with the journey of economic growth. So, if you grow your economy, poverty must be reduced. How do you reduce poverty? There are three ways to reduce poverty. One, you do immediate employment for people. You have to configure most of your policies to include employment. Second, you do social investment such as housing, health care, education, infrastructure and basic infrastructure for people. That is why I said he should go and study Bolsa Familia; that is the programme that saves Brazil. Thirdly, you must have systems in place for macroeconomic management, and you cannot cheat in that kind of examination. You must immediately tell the Governor of the Central Bank, gentlemen, meet the Minister of Finance, by the middle of my term, I want inflation to be single-digit.

    If you can’t do it, leave my job, let me find somebody else because you have to make inflation to be single-digit. You have to reduce unemployment to single-digit. You must look at those two things, and you must increase productivity. So agricultural productivity is coming down, unemployment is rising, inflation is rising, and poverty is blooming. And then you go to Brazil and say, God loves Brazil more than us, or what? Or you’re asking the question, what do they have that we don’t have? They have common sense, they have good leadership, they understand economics, and they don’t want to cheat the economy. They want to study macroeconomic indicators and make sure that the policies are able to move the needle. It’s like you’re buying fuel into your car; you watch the gauge. If you’re buying fuel in your car, and the gauge is still empty, you ask, is the gauge faulty, or are they cheating you? Now you cannot say, I’ve spent N200,000 to fill the tank of a Land Cruiser, and the gauge is still empty, or less than one quarter.

    You say, what happened? They are spending money, they are raising nominal increases in money; they are pumping money into the sub-national, into the state government, and all of that. They are spending all the money on certain invisibles, and they are happy that the economy is expanding, but they are not looking at the deliverables and the outcomes. That is what they are doing wrong. I will have more time, I will break it down for them, sector by sector, aspect by aspect, quarter by quarter, and I will tell them, medium term expenditure framework, and I will do the analytics of it, so that they will see the position. They will realize that they are not just going to Brazil, they are going away.

    Ahead of the 2027 elections, politicking has begun in earnest. You saw what the PDP has done by zoning the presidential ticket to the south. What was your initial view when you heard that news?

    Well, that’s what they should have done in 2023, because there is a popular demand that there should be equity in the country. So, they have this, at least from the elitist point of view, they have this north-south rotation that they’re doing. So, my only concern is that when it goes to the north, they bring the worst person. When it comes to the south, they also bring the worst person. But if it can be done positively, that when it goes to the north, they bring the best person, so you are voting for them not just because they are from the north, but because they are good for the job. And if it’s the turn of the south, you look for the best candidate also. So, I think, the party can correct its mistake, because the idea of rotation actually came from PDP. They were the ones who brought the idea of ‘turn-by-turn Nigeria Limited’, as Chief Bode George would call it. So, now that they are finally finding their way, they should not assume that that’s the only problem Nigerians have with them.

    The problems we have with them is not just the north-south issue, it is the 16 years of bad governance. The luck that PDP has is that as bad as their government was, APC managed to equal them or even top them in mismanagement. Otherwise, Nigerians were not happy with the 16 years of PDP, and I think we haven’t forgiven them. So, it’s good that they’ve done this rotation thing, so as to make it easier for them to allow people to make more substantive arguments as to how to run the government. But I don’t think Nigerians want to see the PDP in power.

    Finally, those who say the zoning to the south by the PDP just gave an easy answer or a quicker route for Bola Tinubu and the APC to clinch the election or win the election in 2027. What do you make of that?

    Well, who is going to vote for President Tinubu in 2027 with all this suffering, with all the fake promises? President Tinubu said, ‘don’t vote for me if I don’t give you electricity’. Has he given it? He said: ‘I know the job; the job is tough. Let me do what I want to do. If you don’t like it, at the end of the four years, don’t vote for me.’ So, I don’t think if things remain the way they are in 2027, President Tinubu, in good conscience, shouldn’t be surprised if he’s massively voted out. Nigerians have suffered enough. His policies are not working and it’s not about us. Beside PDP and APC, Nigerians have better options. So, it’s not compulsory that if the PDP commits suicide, automatically, the APC inherits the politics. No, what we know is that APC and PDP are like Siamese twins. They are the same company now. They work together. Nigerians want alternative politics. We are looking for a new direction. That’s what people are saying; new direction.

    People are talking about a new direction now. There’s nothing new about PDP. Definitely, there’s nothing new about APC. We’ve done change. We’ve done the next level. Now, we are in serious suffering. So, I think we need to understand that Nigerians have options. But if by 2027, something changes in terms of macroeconomics, in terms of security, in terms of poverty, in terms of employment, then President Tinubu becomes competitive. But the way it is now, I don’t think that for the good of the country, even for the good of the president himself, he should just go home and thank God that he’s the president for four years.

    The post Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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    Former presidential candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in the 2023 general election, Prince Adewale Adebayo, in this interview with select journalists, says President Bola Tinubu’s trip to Brazil
    The post Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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