Dangote: Nigeria, Other African Countries Losing $90bn Market Opportunities to Continued Fuel Imports

•Says international traders frustrating local refining, decries huge port charges  

•NMDPRA, S&P partner for regional petroleum price index 

•Downstream regulator says only 31% of needed fuels refined in West Africa

•Lokpobiri insists fossil fuels will remain relevant for decades 

•Ojulari pledges to dismantle structural bottlenecks in oil sector

Emmanuel Addeh in Abuja

Africa’s richest man and President of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), AlikoDangote, yesterday decried the massive importation of petroleum products by Nigeria and other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, stating that these African nations continue to lose up to $90 billion market opportunities to Asia, Europe and other continents.

Dangote spoke in Abuja at the Global Commodity Insights Conference on West African Refined Fuel Market, organised by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) in partnership with S&P Global, themed: “Creating a West African Reference Market for Oil and Gas Products”.

The meeting signalled the beginning of processes to develop a regional pricing benchmark for refined petroleum products in West Africa, an initiative which aims to create localised indices for products such as petrol, diesel, aviation fuel and liquefied petroleum gas.

In his keynote address tagged: “Building an African Refinery Hub: Prospects and Challenges”, the owner of the world’s largest single train refinery, the 650,000 barrels per day facility located in Lagos, argued that while Africa produces approximately 7 million barrels of crude oil per day, it only consumes only 4.3 million barrels of that.

Troublingly, Dangote stated that just 40 per cent of that is refined domestically, with most of this production in Algeria and Egypt, and now Nigeria with the start of the Dangote refinery, explaining that in Sub-Saharan Africa, there are no more than three good working refineries.

“To compare, Europe and Asia refine around 95 per cent of their consumption. So, while we produce plenty of crude, we still import over 120 million tonnes of refined petroleum products each year, effectively exporting jobs and importing poverty into our continent. That’s a $90 billion market opportunity being captured by regions with surplus refining capacity.

“To put this in perspective, only about 15 per cent of African countries have a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) greater than $90 billion. We are effectively handing over an entire continent’s economic potential to others—year after year,” he maintained.

Dangote clarified that while he’s not against global trade and he believes in the power of free markets and international collaboration, trade should be rooted in the principles of economic efficiency, comparative advantage, and a fair playing field.

He emphasised that it defies logic and economic sense for Africa to be exporting raw crude only to re-import refined products, which it is more than capable of producing itself, as it is closer to both source and consumption.

Dangote classified the problems of establishing refineries in Africa into three broad categories , including technical, commercial, and contextual.

In terms of technical challenges, to construct the 650,000 refinery, he stated that the company had to clear 2,735 hectares of land of which 70 per cent was swamp, which was debushed with 65 million cubic metres of sand, including over 250,000 foundation piles of 35 metres length, millions of metres of piping, cabling, and electrical wiring.

At its peak, he said the refinery had over 67,000 people on-site, of which 50,000 were Nigerians, building not only the refinery but also a seaport, because Nigeria’s existing ports were incapable of receiving the over-dimensional and heavy cargo the project required.

With over 2,600 pieces of heavy equipment, over 1,000 vehicles, and 330 cranes of 100 tons, he said the company built the world’s largest granite quarry, capable of producing 10 million tonnes annually—just to supply the stones needed.

“After overcoming the technical challenges, we faced the second major hurdle: commercial viability. Once the refinery was ready, we proceeded to line up working capital to commence operations. Exchange rates have gone from N156 at inception to N1,600 at completion. The interest rates were exorbitant, but we had no choice.

“One of the first commercial shocks came with crude feedstock sourcing. At the project’s inception, it was reasonable to assume that in a country producing about 2 million barrels per day, securing crude would be the least of our worries. But we were wrong.

“Rather than buying crude oil directly from Nigerian producers at competitive terms, we found ourselves having to negotiate with international trading companies, who were buying Nigerian crude and reselling it to us—with hefty premiums, of course.

“As we speak today, we buy 9-10 million barrels of crude monthly from the US and other countries. Even after securing the crude, transporting it became another bottleneck. Lifting schedules were constantly shifted by upstream operators, and we were hit with excessive port and regulatory charges.

“Shockingly, port charges made up about 40 per cent of our total freight costs—meaning it costs two thirds as much as chartering a vessel itself, with crew, insurance, and fuel included. Meanwhile, refiners in India, who purchase crude oil from regions even farther away, enjoy lower freight costs than we do right here in West Africa because they are not saddled with exorbitant port charges,” he added.

Besides, unlike Europe, which has adopted harmonised fuel specifications, Africa, he said, remains fragmented, with every country having its own fuel specification standard, pointing out that the lack of harmonisation benefits no one—except international traders, who thrive on arbitrage.

As for contextual challenges, Dangote said the most formidable challenge it faced was entrenched rent-seeking within the petroleum value chain, explaining that across many African countries, the sector has historically been a major avenue for corruption and rent extraction.

But just like the  52 million tonnes of cement capacity it ships across Africa, which will be at 60 million tons capacity by mid of next year, with a  target export of $500 million of cement and clinker by 2027, Dangote said the same growth is happening in petroleum refining.

“Today, Nigeria has become a net exporter of refined petroleum products, polypropylene, and urea—a historic turnaround. With our LPG production of 2,500 tons per day, we are working to encourage more homes to increase LPG utilisation.  And we are just getting started,” he added.

The Chief Executive of the Dangote Group also accused international traders of deliberately frustrating the establishment of new refineries and the efficient operation of existing ones in Africa, to protect their own dubious interests.

“The problem is international traders are deliberately frustrating the establishment of new refineries and the efficient operation of existing ones in Africa, to protect their own dubious interests,” Dangote said.

Also speaking at the two-day event, the Chief Executive of the NMDPRA, Farouk Ahmed, said that despite being a significant producer of hydrocarbon resources, an important consumer of refined petroleum products and a growing refining hub, West Africa continues to depend on posted prices of global reference markets such as Northwest Europe (NWE), US Gulf Coast, Mediterranean, Singapore, Arab Gulf, among others, for all its trading activities.

“While these benchmarks are globally accepted, often they do not reflect the unique supply chain peculiarities, market dynamics, and economic realities of the African continent.  A regional pricing benchmark that promotes price discovery, transparency, deepened market development and enhanced availability of energy has then become a strategic objective that requires the collaborative action of all the stakeholders that are major players in this market,” Ahmed stated.

According to him, establishing a regional pricing reference point would facilitate:  Growth of trading of petroleum products in the region, establishment of additional storage and supply infrastructure to accommodate the growing volumes of trading activities and real-time pricing data that is reflective of the peculiarities of the West African market fundamentals.

He stated that the regional supply of fuels in West Africa has grown through improved refining capacities in Nigeria, Ghana, Niger, Senegal and Cote D’Ivoire which currently stands at 1.335 million barrels per day.

“Our 2025 statistical data for fuel supply in the West African region reveals that 2.05 million MT per month of gasoline is being traded, consisting of 1.44 million MT (69 per cent) imports and 0.61 million MT (31 per cent) refinery contribution from the region,” he stressed.

He added that the partnership with S&P Global Commodity Insights seeks to employ world class market intelligence, reliable data integrity and extensive experience in the development of market benchmarks by S&P and the regulatory expertise of the NMDPRA.

This he said will help launch pilot indices that capture refined product prices such as Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), Automotive Gasoil (AGO), Aviation Turbine Kerosene (ATK), and LPG in Nigeria and West African energy markets.

Also speaking, the Minister of State for Petroleum (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, stated that fossil fuels will still constitute 50 per cent of global energy needs, even in the next 50 years, noting that the fear that hydrocarbons are going into extinction was baseless.

“Fossil fuel is  the dominant source of energy globally from what we have seen from studies that have been carried out by experts. So in Nigeria, our mission is first of all to build the upstream because without it the downstream cannot be successful,” he stressed.

Group Chief Executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC), BayoOjulari, in his remarks, reaffirmed the company’s commitment to dismantling structural bottlenecks towards laying a solid foundation for a self-sufficient refining ecosystem in Africa.

According to the GCEO, through strategic review and repositioning of its refineries, strategic equity in the Dangote Refinery, condensate opportunities and support for other third-party projects, the NNPC  couldkickstart Africa’s transformation into a refining hub.

“NNPC Ltd stands ready. Ready to co-create, co-invest, and co-lead in building an African refining ecosystem that is inclusive, resilient, and globally competitive,” Ojulari added.

He noted that infrastructure integration, indigenous ownership, and policy harmonisation remain essential drivers of downstream transformation and are critical to creating a credible African reference market that guarantees energy security, reduces import dependence, and powers Africa’s industrial aspirations.

The GCEO also commended the Nigerian NMDPRA for organising the event and championing the conversation which will lead to Africa becoming energy sufficient. 

He charged stakeholders in the refining sector to move from declarations to delivery, from national ambition to regional execution and from fragmented development to system-scale transformation.

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    Colombian Vice-President Begins Three-day Official Visit To Nigeria

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    Deji Elumoye in Abuja 

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    Accompanied by her spouse, Mr Rafael Yerney Pinillo Ocoró, the Colombian Vice-President was received on arrival at the Nnamdi Azikiwe International Airport, Abuja, by the Minister of Innovation, Science and Technology, Chief Uche Nnaji; his Women Affairs counterpart, Hon. Imaan Sulaiman-Ibrahim; Minister of State, FCT, Dr. Mariya Mahmud Bunkure, Director General of National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA), Mrs. Zubaida Umar and other senior government officials. 

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    The Colombian Vice-President is accompanied on the visit by cabinet ministers, top government officials and business sector leaders who are set to engage their Nigerian counterparts in discussions around key areas aimed at strengthening ties between both countries.

    A key highlight of the visit is the signing of Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) in strategic areas of the economy, including women empowerment, trade, aviation, manufacturing, agriculture and culture, among others.

    The visit will also feature a plenary session to be graced by both Mrs Marqueez and her Nigerian counterpart, Kashim Shettima and the Nigeria-Colombia Business Forum; government to government bilateral meetings; side events, including high-level business sector meetings hosted by the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, as well as a summit on Artificial Intelligence. 

    The post Colombian Vice-President Begins Three-day Official Visit To Nigeria appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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    * To hold bilateral meeting, sign MoU on economy with his Nigerian counterpart  Deji Elumoye in Abuja  The Vice-President of the Republic of Colombia, Mrs Francia Márquez, on Saturday arrived
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    Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes

    Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes

    Former presidential candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in the 2023 general election, Prince Adewale Adebayo, in this interview with select journalists, says President Bola Tinubu’s trip to Brazil is a waste of the country’s resources, as what he is seeking exists in SDP’s manifestoes

    In faraway Brazil, President Bola Tinubu declared that the reforms his administration have carried out are tough, but like a bitter medicine, once the fever is gone, you would know that the cure was worth it. What do you make of that statement from President Tinubu?

    Well, I’m happy that the president is going around the world. I’m happy that he went to Brazil, because if ever his policy life is going to change, we will see whether he changes from Brazil. His going to Brazil is the equivalent of Saul becoming Paul, because in Brazil what the Workers’ Party did to become what they are today and the president was giddy about it; he even posed the question what do they have that we don’t have? And I have the answer. What they have is good leadership and that’s what we don’t have yet. What they have is a poverty reduction manifesto and set of programmes and policies. If you look at Bolsa Familia, which reduced poverty by 27 per cent in Brazil in four years under President Lula da Silva’s government, it is the opposite of ‘subsidy is gone’ that increased poverty exponentially. If you look at the way Petrobras is run compared to the way the president has been running the NNPCL, they are polar opposites. If you look at where Brazil gets its strength from, Brazil is the third largest economy in the Americas. In fact, by purchasing power parity, Brazil is next to the USA.

    So, they have a bit of a mixed economy. The government is participating; the private sector is participating. They have indigenous industries, arising from agriculture, coffee, soybeans and all of that. Then they have the high end with aeronautics, defence and all of that. So, the same country that makes a lot of money producing aircraft like Embraer and other companies is making more money just producing plain soybeans. So, the economic policy of President Tinubu is opposite to the one that has succeeded in Brazil. I’m happy that he’s there because by going there, he will see how wrongheaded his own policies are. On the other hand, I am not happy that he went there to spend all that money when the ruler is here. He could have spoken to me. He could have looked at the Social Democratic Party manifesto. He used to be a member of the SDP in good old days. So, why are you leaving the Brazilian type of manifesto which is available in Nigeria and then you are going to Brazil as a tourist to be in awe of the majesty of Brazil and the Brazilian economy as if it is by magic? It is by policy.

    Look at them. The Central Bank of Brazil is crying because of 4.5 per cent inflation. We are celebrating 22 per cent inflation, which in reality is 13 per cent. Brazil says it should not be at three per cent. You look at it clearly; Brazil pays people money to go to school. If you study Posta Familiar very well, a family that puts their children in school, does immunization, does all of that, is guaranteed not to see poverty. And Brazil is struggling to make sure that the wealth that it has is better distributed. So, they acknowledged the fact that the problem of Brazil is not about making more money, it is about allocating efficiency that has social consideration. That is to say they want to distribute their wealth in a better way to make everybody more productive. Brazil is having five per cent unemployment. We are having over 30 or 40 per cent, depending on how you look at the statistics. So, how can you now say, I am now in Brazil as a tourist, how did they make it here? So, it is like the person who does not keep good health, who does not take a shower, who does not clean the environment, he looks at his neighbour’s house and says, why do you have to clean? Why is your dress so white? Why are all your children healthy? Just adopt that healthy policy. It is a good discussion and it is a discussion I am willing to have with the president, partisanship aside. You can stay in the government and I stay where I am in the SDP, but we can still have this conversation as to how Brazil managed it because everything that happened to Brazil happened to us.

    Agreed that the reforms are the bitter pill that signposts good health when the medicine starts working; in the last two years or more of this government in power, we have seen top policies that have been made, is the medicine working or are we taking malaria medication for typhoid or cancer? Are the realities and the promises or the hopes that are being preached in tandem? What exactly do you think is going on?

    Okay, let me tell you, there is a doctor, Bola Tinubu, who has an APP hospital, and he says he treats malaria patients. So, he makes sure the fever is gone. What does he do? If you take a patient there, he gives the patient rat poison. So, the patient would die, and the fever would die with the patient. That’s one way that he cures his own patients. If he has plenty of patients and 15 of them die, he will say I have only five fever patients left. That is not the best way to cure a patient. It’s not every medicine that is going to cure a fever, that’s number one. Number two, he went to the wrong country. He should have gone to Argentina, because his own policy is closer to the one done in Argentina, not the one being done in Brazil. Thirdly, the problem is not breaking the egg. You can ask women, how do you make an omelet? The easiest part is breaking the egg. You break the egg, and all the yolk and the white of the egg spills to the ground. If you break the egg, at that time you have no frying pan; you have not even lit the fire. So how are you going to make the omelet? The problem is that half of our eggs are broken, and nobody has had breakfast. You keep breaking the egg, you don’t see the omelet.

    Prince, you are saying that this government is not doing the right thing. Maybe, they’ve put in place the right policies, but they are not implementing them the right way, is that what you are saying?

    I am not just saying that President Tinubu’s government is not doing the right thing. There are some governments that don’t do the right thing. But I’m saying that they are not just doing the right thing, they are actively doing the bad thing. And the reason I’m able to say that, is that the president may disagree with the policy of the SDP. We raised the issue of farewell to poverty and insecurity, and we said you have to make social investment. And we said that you can grow your GDP by making social investments. He is trying to grow his own GDP by making social divestment and hoping that Brazilians, because I heard him calling Petrobras to come here, he is hoping that Brazilians, other people who have made social investments at home, and have redeveloped that social investment, are going to bring their own money to come and make foreign investment here. The policy is wrong. The third reason why I think the policy is wrong is that after criticizing the SDP or ignoring the SDP manifesto here, he is praising Brazil. Brazil is the benchmark for today’s discussion. I agree with the Channel TV. You can organize a session where you bring Wale Edun, you bring all the economic team of the APC, and you bring me, and you bring the SDP. We can have a debate for two hours in your session; if they can pay half, we can pay half.

    And let us put these policies and explain them to Nigerian people. They are letting their own policies go wrong in five ways. One, they are behaving as if poverty can increase, and economic growth can also increase at the same time. It can’t happen. The journey of poverty must be inversely correlated with the journey of economic growth. So, if you grow your economy, poverty must be reduced. How do you reduce poverty? There are three ways to reduce poverty. One, you do immediate employment for people. You have to configure most of your policies to include employment. Second, you do social investment such as housing, health care, education, infrastructure and basic infrastructure for people. That is why I said he should go and study Bolsa Familia; that is the programme that saves Brazil. Thirdly, you must have systems in place for macroeconomic management, and you cannot cheat in that kind of examination. You must immediately tell the Governor of the Central Bank, gentlemen, meet the Minister of Finance, by the middle of my term, I want inflation to be single-digit.

    If you can’t do it, leave my job, let me find somebody else because you have to make inflation to be single-digit. You have to reduce unemployment to single-digit. You must look at those two things, and you must increase productivity. So agricultural productivity is coming down, unemployment is rising, inflation is rising, and poverty is blooming. And then you go to Brazil and say, God loves Brazil more than us, or what? Or you’re asking the question, what do they have that we don’t have? They have common sense, they have good leadership, they understand economics, and they don’t want to cheat the economy. They want to study macroeconomic indicators and make sure that the policies are able to move the needle. It’s like you’re buying fuel into your car; you watch the gauge. If you’re buying fuel in your car, and the gauge is still empty, you ask, is the gauge faulty, or are they cheating you? Now you cannot say, I’ve spent N200,000 to fill the tank of a Land Cruiser, and the gauge is still empty, or less than one quarter.

    You say, what happened? They are spending money, they are raising nominal increases in money; they are pumping money into the sub-national, into the state government, and all of that. They are spending all the money on certain invisibles, and they are happy that the economy is expanding, but they are not looking at the deliverables and the outcomes. That is what they are doing wrong. I will have more time, I will break it down for them, sector by sector, aspect by aspect, quarter by quarter, and I will tell them, medium term expenditure framework, and I will do the analytics of it, so that they will see the position. They will realize that they are not just going to Brazil, they are going away.

    Ahead of the 2027 elections, politicking has begun in earnest. You saw what the PDP has done by zoning the presidential ticket to the south. What was your initial view when you heard that news?

    Well, that’s what they should have done in 2023, because there is a popular demand that there should be equity in the country. So, they have this, at least from the elitist point of view, they have this north-south rotation that they’re doing. So, my only concern is that when it goes to the north, they bring the worst person. When it comes to the south, they also bring the worst person. But if it can be done positively, that when it goes to the north, they bring the best person, so you are voting for them not just because they are from the north, but because they are good for the job. And if it’s the turn of the south, you look for the best candidate also. So, I think, the party can correct its mistake, because the idea of rotation actually came from PDP. They were the ones who brought the idea of ‘turn-by-turn Nigeria Limited’, as Chief Bode George would call it. So, now that they are finally finding their way, they should not assume that that’s the only problem Nigerians have with them.

    The problems we have with them is not just the north-south issue, it is the 16 years of bad governance. The luck that PDP has is that as bad as their government was, APC managed to equal them or even top them in mismanagement. Otherwise, Nigerians were not happy with the 16 years of PDP, and I think we haven’t forgiven them. So, it’s good that they’ve done this rotation thing, so as to make it easier for them to allow people to make more substantive arguments as to how to run the government. But I don’t think Nigerians want to see the PDP in power.

    Finally, those who say the zoning to the south by the PDP just gave an easy answer or a quicker route for Bola Tinubu and the APC to clinch the election or win the election in 2027. What do you make of that?

    Well, who is going to vote for President Tinubu in 2027 with all this suffering, with all the fake promises? President Tinubu said, ‘don’t vote for me if I don’t give you electricity’. Has he given it? He said: ‘I know the job; the job is tough. Let me do what I want to do. If you don’t like it, at the end of the four years, don’t vote for me.’ So, I don’t think if things remain the way they are in 2027, President Tinubu, in good conscience, shouldn’t be surprised if he’s massively voted out. Nigerians have suffered enough. His policies are not working and it’s not about us. Beside PDP and APC, Nigerians have better options. So, it’s not compulsory that if the PDP commits suicide, automatically, the APC inherits the politics. No, what we know is that APC and PDP are like Siamese twins. They are the same company now. They work together. Nigerians want alternative politics. We are looking for a new direction. That’s what people are saying; new direction.

    People are talking about a new direction now. There’s nothing new about PDP. Definitely, there’s nothing new about APC. We’ve done change. We’ve done the next level. Now, we are in serious suffering. So, I think we need to understand that Nigerians have options. But if by 2027, something changes in terms of macroeconomics, in terms of security, in terms of poverty, in terms of employment, then President Tinubu becomes competitive. But the way it is now, I don’t think that for the good of the country, even for the good of the president himself, he should just go home and thank God that he’s the president for four years.

    The post Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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    Former presidential candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in the 2023 general election, Prince Adewale Adebayo, in this interview with select journalists, says President Bola Tinubu’s trip to Brazil
    The post Adebayo: What Tinubu Seeks Abroad Exists in SDP Manifestoes appeared first on THISDAYLIVE.

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